Editor's Note: This article comes fromDeepChain (ID: deepchain-eva), Author: Bu Er Do, reprinted by Odaily with authorization.
Editor's Note: This article comes from
DeepChain (ID: deepchain-eva)
DeepChain (ID: deepchain-eva)
After the launch date of the autonomous network is confirmed, the Filecoin field, especially the Filecoin miner nodes, has attracted a lot of attention from inside and outside the circle.
Similar to the traditional Bitcoin mining pattern, Filecoin miner nodes have faint signs of giants dominating the list before the mainnet goes online.
The top three nodes account for about 70% of the total effective storage value, and the small and medium-sized miner nodes choose alliances and hug their thighs in order to survive.
On this basis, all parties are still actively fighting for technology, capital, and publicity, desperately trying to gain a sense of presence in the market. Although the main network is not yet online, an arms race about Filecoin has quietly begun.
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Recently, the Filecoin field has been in full swing.
With the determination of the mainnet launch time, Filecoin miner nodes stand in the center of the stage.
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In the current Filecoin ecosystem, the total effective storage value is 17.39PiB, among which, the two nodes t01009 and t02020 contributed 6.29PiB and 5.55PiB respectively, accounting for 68% of the total storage value.
If the storage value share of the other 8 nodes in the top ten is included, this figure reaches 92.23%, which means that the remaining more than 700 miner nodes can only get less than 8% of the share.
Anyone with a little bit of mining knowledge knows that mining mainly relies on "computing power" and consumes a lot of social resources (hardware, electricity, capital investment, etc.). For example, Bitcoin is obtained by consuming a lot of resources. The "computing power" of Filecoin is the "effective storage capacity", and the size of the effective storage determines the miner's block generation probability and income.
According to data from Miningbi.com, after the launch of Filecoin, the theoretical total daily output of FIL (Filecoin tokens) is 177,837 pieces. Among them, 1T storage value can get 9.99 FIL rewards a day. The more storage value, the daily income is natural. Also bigger.
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It is worth noting that on the evening of June 30, t01009 and t02020 still accounted for 67% of the total storage value.
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In less than a week, the effective storage value of the two major miner nodes rose again, reaching 68%, further squeezing the living space of other miner nodes.
So much so that some miners once said that Filecoin is prematurely declining and has not yet grown up, and the Matthew effect is already so obvious.
Lao Zheng is noncommittal about the view that the Matthew effect has begun to appear in the Filecoin field. But he also admitted that except for a few miner nodes at the head, the rest basically cannot escape.
"After the mainnet is launched, there may not be more than 10 companies left, and in the long run, there may be only 3 to 5 companies left." Wang Qingshui, a partner of 1475, also expressed the same point of view in an interview with the media.
The reason for this view is that the mining performance of Filecoin depends on the effective storage share. The higher the effective storage share, the higher the final mining efficiency. Effective storage takes time to accumulate .
In other words, the level of Filecoin miners after the mainnet launch has already been differentiated to some extent before the launch.
However, since the main network has not yet been officially launched, the current effective storage value ranking is still only a reference value, and has not really landed. In the future, with the overall effective storage value of the Filecoin ecosystem rising, will there be new nodes? There is still no conclusion about overtaking on curves and whether the effective storage value will be further dispersed.
But whether it is Lao Zheng or Wang Qingshui, they all believe that very few miner nodes in the future will survive.
"The oligopoly of Filecoin mining is a trend, but it will definitely go through multiple reshuffles." In Zhang Chenglong's view, at least for a period of time after the mainnet is launched, the Filecoin mining field will rise together.
During the war, arms dealers can often make a lot of money, and the competition of Filecoin is fierce, and the demand for technology of each node is getting higher and higher.
Xie Dapao, who focuses on providing technical services for Filecoin nodes, told DeepChain, "Recently, more and more people have come to me."
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From individual combat to joint vertical and horizontal
How to survive and stand out from the crowd, miners have thought of many ways, such as spending money to run data.
The reason why the major miner nodes would rather lose money and let themselves occupy the first place by running data is mainly because the mainnet is about to go live, and the real battle is coming. All parties need to absorb as much effective storage value and funds to meet the challenge.
Just like last year's BCH fork war, Wu Jihan and Ao Bencong both tried their best to increase their computing power.
"As soon as the test network is launched, all the mining machines will be turned on, burning money to dominate the rankings, and the data will be ranked first in an instant, and then he will claim to be the leader in the industry." Lao Zheng told DeepChain, "This is It's a fairly common practice."
"Earlier, I heard that some miner nodes started up because of spending money, but because the mainnet launch time changed repeatedly, finally the miner nodes ran out of money and closed down." Lao Wang, an employee of Xi'an Lingdong, told DeepChain.
In addition, there are some miner nodes that pile up hundreds or even thousands of machines at the same time, not talking about the block generation of a single unit of time, so as to show their strength in the number of blocks; what's more, Some people increase the number of blocks produced, and then gradually reduce the effective storage value, thus creating the illusion that their mines have high efficiency per T.
In short, the various means are too numerous to enumerate.
However, no matter how many methods there are, in Lao Zheng's view, it is nothing more than selling mining machines.
On June 10 this year, Protocol Labs released a reward plan for 4 million FIL miners. For a while, it attracted almost all Filecoin miners from all over the world to participate.
Someone joked that if 312 is the rehearsal for Bitcoin miners before Bitcoin halving, then the 4 million FIL reward plan is the rehearsal for Filecoin miners.
No one will be indifferent to 4 million FIL, and no one will try their best in front of the reward.
However, not all participants reap the rewards.
According to the rules of this competition, only the top 50 nodes in each region will be rewarded. The most affected by this rule are a large number of small and medium miners.
They either have poor performance of their own mining machines, or enter the game late, and have not accumulated enough effective storage value to compete with the top miner nodes.
In addition, due to the particularity of the Filecoin mining industry, in addition to mining machines, it is also necessary to make comprehensive preparations for computing, storage, network, operation and maintenance, etc., and these elements are not something that small and medium-sized miners can play.
So these people chose to unite.
"There are quite a lot of miner node alliances, large and small. There are small and medium-sized miners holding together for warmth, and there are also strong alliances between large nodes." Xie Dapao said.
"The reason why Space-Time Cloud/Xi'an Lingdong ranks first is because it has absorbed and integrated many other communities." Lao Wang, an employee of Xi'an Lingdong, told DeepChain, "We are number one in Filecoin in all fields, and the alliance is the best. The way."
Although cluster mining requires a lot of extra overhead for internal coordination, and intranet data transmission may also cause bottlenecks, the computing power accumulates quickly, at least quickly reaching the officially set block computing power threshold.
In addition, after the alliance, it can better deal with the clustering of Filecoin mining.
Different from the method of superimposing clusters of single machines in Bitcoin mining pools, since Filecoin mining requires a large amount of data processing, it is impossible for a single machine to quickly complete actions such as data addition, storage, certification, and message uploading, which will lead to mining Mining efficiency will be very low.
Although cluster mining requires a lot of extra overhead for internal coordination, and intranet data transmission may also cause bottlenecks, the computing power accumulates quickly, at least quickly reaching the officially set block computing power threshold.
In addition, there is another very important reason that everyone has to use the cluster: the greater the total computing power, the easier it is to get on the list, and it has the advantage of ranking high in terms of computing power, block generation rate, and the number of FIL obtained.
In order to achieve cluster mining, it is necessary to continuously join forces so that miners have sufficient mining machines to allocate tasks, and the continuous alliance also widens the gap in the share of storage value occupied by miner nodes.
The united miners are qualified to participate in the construction of Filecoin and obtain token rewards by holding together for warmth, while most of the miner nodes may die in the night before dawn.
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After the mainnet is launched, it may face a reshuffle
From the data mining of miner nodes to the vertical and horizontal cooperation between nodes, there is only one purpose, to firmly hold a favorable position and win the competition.
However, the problems faced by Filecoin miner nodes go far beyond this.
Spacetime Cloud COO Hu Feng once told the media that the popularity of Filecoin has attracted the attention of many traditional Bitcoin miners. Traditional Bitcoin miners such as Canaan, Yuchi, and Niubit have all entered the game or are in the process of deployment.
Although there is no news of traditional mining machine giants entering Filecoin, and Canaan Zhizhi officially issued a statement to refute the rumors, stating that it has no plan to enter IPFS.
However, in the view of some Filecoin miners, if traditional large miners enter the market, it will have an impact on Filecoin's current miner node structure to a certain extent.
In addition, as mentioned above, although the miner node test network has shown its muscles, there is no shortage of "false prosperity" brought about by swiping data. Therefore, to a certain extent, it is difficult to truly evaluate the true strength of a miner node just by looking at the node ranking of the testnet.
When the Filecoin mainnet is launched, it will be clear whether it is a mule or a horse, and the competition pattern will also change to some extent. Those with strong strength will be in the forefront, and those who "win" by burning money and data in the short term may be left behind in the long-term competition tail.
Similarly, the alliance policy launched in order to stand out in the testnet stage and better cope with the competition after the mainnet is launched is not without disadvantages.
"The most difficult thing for the community to reach is consensus, and there are more or less differences." Zhang Chenglong told DeepChain, "Maybe before the mainnet goes online, the goals of the alliance communities are the same, and they join forces temporarily. After the launch, it is inevitable. There are gaps."
In Zhang Chenglong's view, the way of the alliance is not as good as imagined.
"After the alliance, members of the alliance sometimes poach each other and break some rules." Lao Wang told DeepChain, "Although the official caliber is the same, there will definitely be competition in private."
At present, the price of 1T on the market is mostly around 1500 to 2000 yuan, but some members will secretly use a lower price such as 1000 yuan per ton to poach the corners of other members.
According to Lao Wang, there was a large miner node before because it used a low price of 500 yuan/T to attract customers for a long time, which caused it to make ends meet and fell to the altar.
In addition to some internal competition brought about by loose alliances, due to the way of cluster mining, each node in each alliance will be solely responsible for a certain mining link, and it is not ruled out that the mining industry will be further subdivided. This will also result in a status change between miner nodes.
But despite this, in Lao Wang's view, the benefits of alliances are still far greater than individual combat, at least for now.
Through the combination of vertical and horizontal and first-mover advantages, in the current Filecoin ecology, the effective storage value is becoming more and more concentrated in the head miner nodes, and there is an intensifying trend.
Faced with this situation, Space-Time Cloud Hu Feng also expressed his concerns in an interview with the media.
"Currently, in the test rankings of the test network, the top three miners account for more than 70% of the currency output of the computing power. However, many of the hundreds of mining machine manufacturers in the market cannot even make the list on the test network. It's a very dangerous thing."
