Fidelity Research VP: The bear market may not be over yet, BTC still faces the November cycle test
Odaily News: Recently, Chris Kuiper, Vice President of Research at Fidelity Digital Assets, stated: "The bear market may not be over yet." He believes that the rebound since August could be either the starting point of a new upward leg or merely a bounce within a bear market, and that "price upside does not guarantee the end of the bear market." Based on the four-year cycle framework, November is a key window to watch (the bottom of the previous bear market was in November 2022), but he also emphasized that historical cycles never repeat precisely, and BTC may decline again and set a new low in November or later.A relatively positive signal is that from June to mid-August, digital asset volatility remained low before rapidly expanding, a pattern similar to the late stages of previous bear markets, which may mean that selling pressure is nearing exhaustion. During the same period, stablecoin transfers, RWA, and institutional participation continued to grow.

