Odaily reports, according to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 77.9%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 22.1%.The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in December is 14.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 67.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 17.9%.

Odaily reports that the nonfarm payroll data further reinforced the view that momentum in the U.S. job market is cooling. According to CME's "FedWatch" tool, traders now expect an 83% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged at its October meeting, up from 72% before the jobs report was released; the probability of a rate hike has dropped from 28% to 17%. Rate expectations have also cooled. Currently, federal funds rate futures pricing shows that the market expects the Fed to raise rates by a cumulative total of about 22.2 basis points through the end of 2026, down from 25.5 basis points before the data was released.

Odaily Report: Sui posted on X platform stating that traders may still incur losses even if their judgment is correct, due to overly large position sizes. CME Group's micro SUI futures contracts are one-tenth the size of standard contracts.

Odaily reports that K33 Research head of research Vetle Lunde analyzed that over the past 7 days, CME and perpetual contract BTC open interest combined decreased by 49,000, the largest single-week decline since October 2025, during which market volatility remained subdued and funding rates continued to trend downward.Unlike previous major deleveraging episodes that were accompanied by forced liquidations, this round of deleveraging is closer to proactive profit-taking, with overall market sentiment becoming more rational.

Odaily News: Sui posted on X that farmers selling corn and airlines locking in fuel prices three years in advance cannot run their businesses by guessing price movements—futures exist precisely for this purpose. Now, with CME Group's micro futures, the same tools are available for SUI and Sui ecosystem DeFi.

Odaily reports that derivatives exchange CME Group has announced that, pending regulatory approval, it will launch Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Uniswap futures on October 19. The standard BCH contract corresponds to 250 BCH, while the micro contract corresponds to 25 BCH.Following the announcement, BCH briefly surged 30%, breaking above $340 and briefly touching $358, with weekly gains at one point exceeding 50%. Bitcoin SV (BSV) also rose approximately 20% in tandem, approaching its yearly high of $21; Bitcoin fell back to around $84,000 on Wednesday.Digital asset management firm Grayscale has filed to convert its Bitcoin Cash Trust into a spot ETF listed on NYSE Arca. (Decrypt)

Odaily News: IcoBeast.eth, Head of Crypto at Kalshi, posted on X stating that the Artemis chart displays prediction market trading volume share, not perpetual futures trading volume; Kalshi does not offer rebates for crypto prediction markets, and its contract count and notional value calculation methods are consistent with other prediction markets.Regarding claims that self-clearing members are selected by Kalshi as market makers, IcoBeast.eth stated this is untrue—any institution meeting regulatory requirements can become a self-clearing member of a CFTC-regulated exchange. He noted that exchanges such as CME, Hyperliquid, and Binance all improve liquidity through rebates and incentive programs; Kalshi's perpetual futures business is still in its early stages, and relevant incentive programs must be publicly filed and are available for public review.

Odaily News: According to an official announcement, Binance Auto-Invest will support the following stocks and ETFs starting September 17, 2026 at 10:00 (UTC): ABNB, ACN, ADI, ADP, AEM, AEP, ALL, AMGN, AMT, AMX, ANET, AON, APD, APH, APO, APP, ASX, AXP, AZN, B, BA, BAM, BBVA, BCS, BE, BHP, BKNG, BMO, BMY, BN, BNS, BNY, BP, BTI, BUD, CAT, CB, CDNS, CEG, CI, CL, CM, CMCSA, CME, CMI, CNI, CNQ, COF, COP, CP, CRWD, CSCO, CSX, CTAS, CVS, DASH, DB, DDOG, DE, DELL, DLR, DUK, E, ECL, ELV, EMR, ENB, EOG, EQIX, EQNR, ETN, FCX, FDX, FTNT, GD, GE, GEV, GILD, GLW, GM, GOOG, GSK, HCA, HDB, HLT, HON, HPE, HSBC, HWM, IBM, IBN, ICE, IMO, ING, ITUB, ITW, JCI, KKR, KMI, LIN, LITE, LMT, LOW, LYG, MAR, MCK, MCO, MDLZ, MDT, MELI, MFC, MFG, MMM, MNST, MO, MPC, MRSH, MRVL, MSI, MUFG, NEE, NEM, NET, NGG, NOC, NSC, NTES, NU, NVO, NVS, NWG, ORLY, PBR, PBR.A, PCAR, PDD, PGR, PH, PLD, PM, PNC, PSX, PWR, RACE, RCL, REGN, RIO, ROST, RSG, RTX, RY, SAN, SAP, SCCO, SE, SHEL, SHOP, SHW, SKHY, SLB, SMFG, SNDK, SNPS, SNY, SO, SONY, SPCX, SPG, SPGI, SPOT, STX, SU, SYK, T, TD, TGT, TJX, TM, TMO, TMUS, TRP, TRV, TT, TTE, UBER, UBS, UL, UNP, UPS, USB, VLO, VRT, VRTX, VZ, WBD, WDC, WELL, WM, WMB, WPM.

Odaily News: According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its October meeting is 50.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 49.8%.

Odaily reports, according to CME's "FedWatch": After the Fed raised rates as expected in September, the probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% at its October meeting is 59.5%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 40.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate hike is 0.5%. The probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% by December is 16.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 54.0%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 28.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate hike is 0.3%. (Jinshi)