The probability of Anthropic IPOing before 2027 drops from 85% to 69% within a week

According to MSX.COM data, Apple's stock price rose 1.74% in early trading to $346.892 per share, with a total market cap of $5.06 trillion, setting a new all-time high.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, today U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of 788 BTC, with a 7-day net outflow of 8,267 BTC; Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of 29,926 ETH, with a 7-day net outflow of 217,087 ETH.

Odaily reports that after the U.S. stock market opened, the memory sector extended its decline, with Micron Technology and SK Hynix falling over 5%, while Western Digital and Seagate Technology dropped more than 6%. The banking sector showed mixed performance, with JPMorgan Chase up 1.7%, Goldman Sachs rising over 3%, and Wells Fargo falling nearly 3%.

Odaily News: Primavera, a startup backed by Coinbase co-founder Fred Ehrsam, is planning to enter Venezuela's oil industry and take over operations at multiple local oilfields, with the goal of achieving a production rate of 100,000 barrels of crude oil per day in the near term.Primavera has recently signed multiple contracts with Venezuela's state-owned oil company Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A. and has hired industry executives from Chevron and Occidental Petroleum to oversee infrastructure construction and boost conventional and heavy oil production capacity. Notably, Ehrsam is also a co-founder of crypto investment firm Paradigm, with a personal net worth of approximately $2.4 billion. In addition to Ehrsam, Primavera's investment team includes Iribarren and former Quantum Energy Partners executive Dheeraj Verma. (Bloomberg)

Odaily reports: According to on-chain analyst Aunt Ai's monitoring, Machi reduced positions twice today, realizing actual losses of $1.01 million and $12,000 respectively. Machi currently still holds a 25x long position on 7,150 ETH, with a position value of approximately $17.86 million, and a liquidation price of $2,472.78, leaving only $26.52 away from the liquidation price. On October 5, Machi was up $5.46 million in profit; now the account balance has only $562,000 remaining, with cumulative losses of $11.27 million over the past 7 days.

Odaily News: While equity investors around the world are still steering clear of the word "rate hike," Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett has put forward a counterintuitive judgment: if the Federal Reserve chooses to proactively raise rates in October, it would not be a negative, but could instead become the biggest bullish catalyst supporting risk assets and underpinning US stocks.In Hartnett's view, against the current backdrop, if the Fed remains on hold for too long, bond investors will continue to demand higher term premiums, pushing long-end yields further up and ultimately forcing financial conditions to tighten on their own. Conversely, if the Fed proactively raises rates at its October meeting, sending a hawkish signal to curb inflation risks ahead of time, long-end yields could instead stabilize. In that case, the short-term shock from a rate hike may prove less damaging than the greater harm caused by disorderly bond market volatility. (CLS)