Analysis: Bitcoin options market does not expect any major changes after halving event

加密数据分析提供商Skew试图回答有关即将到来的比特币减半的重大问题。根据该公司的研究,与许多批评人士所说的相反,并不是所有未来波动性的价值都体现在价格中。在一系列推文中,Skew解释了如何通过查看资产的隐含波动率(类似于“扭曲”曲线)来确定某个事件是否体现在价格中。 隐含波动率(IV)是期权固有的术语,反映了市场对某项资产的期望。用外行的话来说,它表明了未来市场的动荡。IV还是用于为交易者计算特定价格目标的便捷工具,但这些预测不一定正确。期权交易者可以在相同的执行价格上以不同的到期日同时做空多头比特币,这被称为日历价差策略。通过这种方式,交易者可以通过时间衰减(期权价格随时间下降的趋势)来获利。Skew指出了一个事实,即第二季度的隐含波动率没有扭结,这意味着在减半事件发生后,比特币期权市场预计不会有任何重大变化。(U.Today)
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